Analyses


Analyses 1 to 20


09/07/2018
Growth of Reichsbürger movement in Germany triggers increasing security concerns
Recent years have seen an increase in attacks against state representatives, notably the police, across Germany. Some perpetrators of those attacks have been found to represent an ideology that opposes the state and its representatives and, more specifically, considers the modern German state to be illegitimate. Since the deadly shooting of a police officer by a so-called Reichsbürger in 2016, the movement has not only attracted media attention but also triggered increased monitoring by security authorities. This briefing aims to give insight into the phenomenon of the Reich citizen movement. The first section of the briefing provides an overall description of the movement, includ-ing a definition of the term 'Reichsbürger' and key data provided by German security authorities. The second part reviews the incidents that involved members of the said movement.
30/11/2017
Gun violence: As American as cherry pie?
Civilian firearms manufacturing, ownership and murder trends in context of the two deadliest mass shooting in U.S. history. In the 1960’s, political activist H. Rap Brown described that violence “is as American as cherry pie”. This paper investigates the particularity of gun violence in the United States by consider-ing the prevalence of firearms laterally to an escalation in firearms murders. The preva-lence of firearms is assessed by considering trends in gun manufacturing and ownership. This examination takes place in the context of the deadliest mass shooting in U.S. history taking place in Las Vegas on 1 October 2017, and the deadliest church shooting in Texas on 5 November 2017, which illustrate a recent escalation in gun violence. This paper will also consider the political discussions following the shootings, which highlight political points of interests in current U.S. gun legislation. The shootings were utilized by both those opposing current legislation and those who support it, with new dimensions introduced to the debate including bipartisan concerns regarding the transformation of assault rifles into automatic weapons.
22/05/2017
«Quand les ONG nuisent aux intérêts de ceux qu’elles prétendent défendre»
Etude de cas Fian-Belgium Les « dérives néocolonialistes » d’une ONG de développement
26/04/2017
Traite des êtres humains, exploitation sexuelle et prostitution : le poids du crime organisé
Rapport présenté le 4 octobre 2016 dans le cadre du colloque « The growing threat of trafficking in women, sexual exploitation and prostitution : protecting human rights of women and ending violence »
19/04/2017
The Armenian Connection. Chapter 2: « Mr X », Nils Muižnieks, Council of Europe Commissioner for Human Rights
As was announced in a previous report devoted to the Armenian network which operates stealthily within the Council of Europe Parliamentary Assembly, we reveal today the identity of Mister “X”, the pivotal figure of the clandestine network. Mister “X” is the Latvian Nils Muižnieks, who for more than 5 years has been the Council of Europe’s Commissioner for Human Rights and who was an employee for Georges Soros.
06/03/2017
The Armenian Connection: How a secret caucus of MPs and NGOs, since 2012, created a network within the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe to hide violations of international law
For several years, a network of non-governmental organizations and its connections within the Council of Europe has led a merciless propaganda campaign against Azerbaijan to benefit Armenia. While no one assumes that Azerbaijan is a perfect and ideal State, it is clear that these unilateral and untruthful attacks are the tool of a hidden political agenda: to defend Armenia’s illegal occupation of Nagorny-Karabakh and to place the control of all Council of Europe activities in central and eastern Europe in the hands of a small clique that, despite appearances, hides its private interests behind the purview of the “defense of human rights.” In this first report, we will try to unveil the extent of these activities.
28/11/2016
République d’Azerbaïdjan : Sur l’importance du référendum pour l’amendement de la Constitution du 26 septembre 2016
Le lundi 26 septembre était une date d’une importance particulière pour la République d’Azerbaïdjan : les citoyens azerbaïdjanais étaient invités à se prononcer sur une série d’amendements de la Constitution. Cette réforme d’une Constitution qui se caractérise par le souci de la protection de la démocratie et des droits fondamentaux du citoyen constituait une démonstration incontestable de la volonté de l’Etat azerbaïdjanais de conforter les droits garantis par la Constitution à tous les citoyens, sans distinction de genre, d’ethnicité et de conviction philosophique et religieuse.
24/10/2016
Symbolic loss of Dabiq prompts adapted propaganda strategy for Islamic State
One of the greatest tools of the Islamic State (IS) is its propaganda machine. Since its creation, IS has mastered the art of communication, especially on social media, through video production, and by positioning itself to be found during internet searches. It has adopted a communication strategy that is calculated, planned, and powerful. This strategy allows IS to recruit, to inform, and also to terrorize its enemies by releasing videos of mass executions and decapitations. In recent months, the coalition forces have begun to systematically dismantle this machine, both in terms of personnel and electronic infrastructure, forcing IS to adapt and focus more on private electronic messaging and on quality over quantity of materials published.
16/03/2016
Belgique : La Fusillade de Forest révèle l'existence d'un réseau en lien avec les attentats de Paris et noyau dur d'opérations terroristes
Au lendemain de la fusillade de Forest dans laquelle 4 policiers ont été blessés, un suspect a d’ores et déjà été identifié, tandis qu’au moins 2, sinon 3, sont toujours en fuite. Cette fusillade est depuis l’assaut donné sur l’appartement de Saint Denis du 18 Novembre, le premier incident impliquant l’utilisation d’armes à feu.
11/11/2015
Latest crackdown measures against PKK and IS reveal the security priorities for the Turkish
The latest operations against IS terrorists and members of the Kurdistan Worker’s Party (PKK) reveal the 2 priority targets the Turkish government posed concerning the security of the country. The government of Justice and Development Party (AKP) and President Erdogan showed with their policy towards PKK and IS that these 2 groups are perceived as the main security threat. Already prior to the national elections of November 1st AKP introduced a hard-line policy towards PKK and IS which was announced that it would continue even more intensified after the election results, when AKP won the parliamentary majority.
21/05/2015
Russia: Islamic State vs Al Qaeda; Deepening crisis in Imarat Kavkaz contributes to the reinforcement of IS positions in post-Soviet space
The security developments of the past months in Northern Caucasus indicate two main trends: 1. The clear weakening of the positions of Al-Qaeda-linked Imarat Kavkaz and 2. The reinforcing positions of the Islamic State. Indeed, a recent string of counter-terrorism operations in Northern Caucasus, that resulted in the killing of numerous senior terrorist members of Imarat Kavkaz including the Emir Mukhammad, who succeeded Doku Umarov after his death, put the group in situation of harsh competition with the Islamic State who is increasing its presence in Russia.
08/05/2015
Tanzania/Kenya: New Al-Qaeda-linked terrorist group "Al-Muhajiroun in East Africa" issues threat against western targets
In a statement, posted online on May 4, a recently created Al-Qaeda-linked terrorist group named 'Al-Muhajiroun in East Africa' threatened to carry out attacks against western interests in the region, accusing UN forces of 'encouraging repressions against Muslims'. The group also threatened to carry out attacks against targets in Tanzania, Uganda and Kenya. The latest statement, that was published the same day as when a Tanzanian convoy was attacked by ADF rebels in North Kivu province in Democratic Republic of Congo, raises concerns over the threat presented by the new Al-Qaeda offspring in East Africa.
24/09/2014
Nigeria: Boko Haram and the threat of a new “caliphate”
While the United States are fighting, with an international coalition, the so-called Islamic State terrorist group in Iraq and Syria, Boko Haram, the Nigerian jihadist group, is now directly threatening one of Nigeria’s main cities. This insurgency is holding territory after a series of victories against the Nigerian army and the proclamation, last month, of a “caliphate”. Despite the international outrage provoked by the kidnapping of more than 200 girls from a school in April 2014 and the declaration of the state of emergency since May 2013 in the states of Borno, Yobe and Adamawa, the terrorist group continues to gain ground.
06/02/2014
Sochi: high threats but low risk
The security paradox of Winter Olympic Games in Sochi is obvious to any observer of the Russian scene and to every security analysts: the threat level is very high...
06/02/2014
Sotchi : menaces élevées mais risques faibles
Le paradoxe sécuritaire des Jeux olympiques d’hiver à Sotchi est évident pour tout observateur de la scène russe et pour tout analyste de la sécurité : le niveau des menaces est très élevé ...
05/10/2013
Remarks on the second interim report of the OSCE/ODIHR
The European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center continues today its analysis of the political situation in Azerbaijan at the eve of the Presidential elections of October 9 (...)
23/09/2013
Remarks on the first interim report of the OSCE/ODIHR
In recent years the European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center (ESISC) follows with great attention the political situation in the Republic of Azerbaijan. In many aspects, the present and the future of the country is of great interest for the political and economic actors of the Western countries.
09/09/2013
The Republic of Azerbaijan: A model of good governance
On October 9 2013, 4,9 millions of Azeri voters will go to the polls to elect their president and determine the future direction of their old but relatively recent independent nation.
29/04/2013
Al Shabaab on Twitter. The use of internet by Jihadist organizations
At the beginning of February Somalia's Al-Qaeda linked Al-Shabaab insurgents have returned to Twitter with a new account, after they were suspended because using twitter to post a photographs of a French they had killed. [...]
21/01/2013
The Obama administration's reshuffle and centre of gravity in foreign policy
President Barack Obama’s second term in office, which will officially begin on 21 January 2013, offers him the unprecedented opportunity to reshuffle his team in charge of foreign policy and national security.
Analyses 20-40 »
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